Our research shows that both your attorney and your complainant are important determinants of your trial outcome. Attorneys differ in how skilled or aggressive they are countering a case made by the prosecution and complainants differ in the quantity and quality of evidence they supply against the defendant. Check out our graphs below to see how attorney and complainant quality affect trial outcomes in your district.

I am a
Accused of a

We calculated the win-rate for each attorney and police officer with over 20 resolved cases before the various courts in our database of over 8 million records and sorted them into quintiles. The quintile average is reported. Public defender (PD) win-rates have been reported as well. Note that the Fairfax City General District Court does not hear felony cases and the Prince William County General District Court does not make nearly as much use of public defenders as other districts; generally indigent Prince William defendants are appointed an attorney in private practice.

The Problem

When accused of a crime, most defendants want to know one thing:

What can I do to give myself the greatest probability of securing a favorable outcome?

Finding an attorney you can trust to give you the best possible defense is a challenge; until now, defendants have had to try to tease out useful information from anecdotes and largely useless top attorney lists. Taking a random sample of top-scoring attorneys from a popular lawyer ratings site, we found that top ratings are actually uncorrelated with win-rates – the metric typical defendants care most about.

The Solution

We have compiled years of court data to provide defendants with win-rate based attorney referrals conditioned on their particular case details.

One common objection to win-based attorney referrals is that trial outcomes are not easily summarized as either wins or losses. We agree. Our referrals take into account attorney effectiveness in getting charges dropped or winning at trial, but we also account for effectiveness at entering plea bargains and plea bargain quality.

Another important – but often ignored – variable is some estimate of the strength of the case against each defendant. We have found that the complainant is an excellent proxy; complainants tend to arrest at specific confidence levels and their unique, successful prosecution rates are relatively stable over time. We can use this fact to gain additional insight into each of our clients’ cases and prepare reports for our clients’ attorneys to help place them in an optimal position for litigation.

Currently, we offer our attorney referral services to people accused of crimes in:

  • Arlington County
  • Alexandria
  • Fairfax City
  • Fairfax County
  • Falls Church
  • Loudoun County
  • Prince William County
Call or email us for more information or to schedule a consultation.
Defendant Win-Rate By Attorney Type
  PD Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q5
Win-Rate By Complainant Type
  Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q5